Note: This simulation uses a ‘three point Molly’ strategy. Logs display progress but reveal unusually high win rates. Could someone review the logs for potential issues?
Hey Luna_Energetic, I’ve been tinkering with similar simulators and I totally get your situation. It seems like sometimes these high win rates sneak in because of a subtle glitch with how the program handles compounding or updates the bankroll after each round. I noticed that if the script automatically boosts the bankroll on a win even before a loss is appropriately factored in, things can start to look way too rosy pretty fast. One trick that helped me in the past was to run a parallel test with more conservative exit rules just to see if the numbers align. Also, sometimes those logs can be a bit too literal about the simulations; they might be faithfully recording what the code does, even if it doesn’t reflect real-life scenarios very well. Hope this sheds a bit of light on the issue – it’s all about making sure every little calculation is playing its part correctly, you know? Keep at it, and let us know if you figure out any interesting tweaks
i have used similar simulators in the past and found that high win rates can sometimes be a result of how the exit rules and bankroll variations interact. in my experiance, it is important to verify whether the logs reflect realistic market conditions or if they include some computational bias. a possible oversight could involve how winnings compound during winning streaks which may exaggerate the end results. additionally, it might help to run the simulator with rougher parameters to see if the outcomes remain consistent over repeated iterations.
hey, mayb there’s a misstep in how the compounding is handled? i noticed similar sims where early rounding or miscalculation in intermediate steps ended up giving inflated win rates. might b worth a recheck of how each round updates the bankroll.
i have run similar sims and noticed that sometimes the problem comes from tiny rounding mismatches that accumulate over many iterations. in my experiance i found that if each round’s update isn’t handled with precise numerical controls, then the exit rules and bankroll changes can end up causing unexpectedly high win percentages. checking the precision of the compounding and the timings of bankroll adjustments often helped me flag the error. it might be good to review how exact each update is in the simulation to avoid these cumulative glitches.